|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]徐云,陈爱玉,洪冠中,等.南通地区小麦赤霉病发生潜势气象预报模型的建立及检验[J].江苏农业科学,2013,41(08):144-145.
　Xu Yun,et al.Establishment and verification of potential grades prediction model of wheat scab in Nantong region[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2013,41(08):144-145.
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南通地区小麦赤霉病发生潜势气象预报模型的建立及检验(PDF)
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《江苏农业科学》[ISSN:1002-1302/CN:32-1214/S]

卷:
第41卷
期数:
2013年08期
页码:
144-145
栏目:
植物保护
出版日期:
2013-08-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Establishment and verification of potential grades prediction model of wheat scab in Nantong region
作者:
徐云1;  陈爱玉1;  洪冠中2;  吴彩霞1
1.江苏省南通市气象局，江苏南通 226006； 2.广东省清远市气象局，广东清远 511518
Author(s):
Xu Yun; et al
关键词:
小麦赤霉病; 气象指标; 判别分析
Keywords:
-
分类号:
S165.28
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
利用1975—2011年江苏省南通市小麦赤霉病测报资料和同期气象资料，通过因子筛选寻找南通地区小麦赤霉病发生流行的气象指标，采取判别分析法建立小麦赤霉病发生潜势气象预报模型预测小麦赤霉病的发生趋势。结果表明，31年的回代检验正确率为80.6%，6年的模拟预报准确率为83.3%，模型的历史拟合率和试报效果均较好，判别函数可信，可投入实际业务应用。
Abstract:
-

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2013-01-17
作者简介：徐云(1974—)，女，江苏南通人，工程师，主要从事农业气象服务与研究。E-mail：xcy2603@sohu.com。
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-08-25