[1]Shindell D,Kuylenstierna J C,Vignati E,et al. Simultaneously mitigating near-term climate change and improving human health and food security[J]. Science,2012,335(665):183-189.
[2]Lobell D B,Field C B. Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2007,2(1):1-7.
[3]Romm J. Desertification:the next Dust Bowl[J]. Nature,2011,478(7370):450-451.
[4]Sternberg T. Regional drought has a global impact[J]. Nature,2011,472(7342):169.
[5]Dai A G. Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models[J]. Nature Climate Change,2013,3(1):52-58.
[6]Wahl E R,Morrill C. Climate change. Toward understanding and predicting monsoon patterns[J]. Science,2010,328(5977):437-438.
[7]Qiu J. China drought highlights future climate threats[J]. Nature,2010,465(7295):142-143.
[8]Fan M S,Shen J B,Yuan L X,et al. Improving crop productivity and resource use efficiency to ensure food security and environmental quality in China[J]. Journal of Experimental Botany,2012,63(1):13-24.
[9]Xu X C,Ge Q S,Zheng J Y,et al. Agricultural drought risk analysis based on three main crops in prefecture-level cities in the monsoon region of East China[J]. Natural Hazards,2013,66(2):1257-1272.
[10]李文娟,覃志豪,林绿. 农业旱灾对国家粮食安全影响程度的定量分析[J]. 自然灾害学报,2010,19(3):111-118.
[11]Wang A H,Lettenmaier D P,Sheffield J. Soil moisture drought in China,1950—2006[J]. Journal of Climate,2011,24(13):3257-3271.
[12]Yu C Q. Chinas water crisis needs more than words[J]. Nature,2011,470(7334):307.
[13]Lu X X,Yang X K,Li S Y. Dam not sole cause of Chinese drought[J]. Nature,2011,475(7355):174.
[14]郑景云,黄金火. 我国近40年的粮食灾损评估[J]. 地理学报,1998,53(6):23-32.
[15]王春乙,娄秀荣,王建林.中国农业气象灾害对作物产量的影响[J]. 自然灾害学报,2007,16(5):37-43.
[16]江丽,安萍莉. 我国自然灾害时空分布及其粮食风险评估[J]. 灾害学,2011,26(1):48-53,59.
[1]李磊,谢小璐.工业污染与城镇化对粮食产量影响的灰色分析——以江苏省为例[J].江苏农业科学,2013,41(06):393.
Li Lei,et al.Gray analysis on influence of industrial pollution and urbanization on grain outputs—Taking Jiangsu Province as an example[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2013,41(08):393.
[2]张杰,刘丹,诸叶平,等.基于ESDA的乡镇粮食产量空间特征分析——以河北省石家庄市为例[J].江苏农业科学,2015,43(08):466.
Zhang Jie,et al.Spatial feature analysis of township grain yield based on ESDA-Taking Shijiazhuang City of Hebei Province as an example[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(08):466.
[3]赵玉姝,焦 源,高 强.山东省粮食生产影响因素实证分析[J].江苏农业科学,2015,43(07):479.
Zhao Yushu,et al.Empirical analysis of factors influencing grain production in Shandong Province[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(08):479.
[4]王新华.基于面板数据模型的湖北省粮食产量影响因素实证研究[J].江苏农业科学,2015,43(07):482.
Wang Xinhua.Empirical study on determinants of grain output based on panel data model in Hubei Province[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(08):482.
[5]樊超,杨静,杨铁军,等.基于小波变换灰度模型-人工神经网络(GM-ANN)组合的粮食产量预测模型[J].江苏农业科学,2016,44(12):390.
Fan Chao,et al.Prediction model of grain production based on wavelet transformation and a GM-ANN model[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2016,44(08):390.
[6]汪发元.主要农业生产要素对粮食产量的影响——基于湖北省19年统计数据的分析[J].江苏农业科学,2016,44(12):636.
Wang Fayuan,et al.Effect of main agricultural production factors on grain output—Based on data analysis of 19 years in Hubei Province[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2016,44(08):636.
[7]柳芬,谢世友,冯欢,等.四川省粮食产量影响因素的动态关联分析[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(10):320.
Liu fen,et al.Dynamic correlation analysis of factors influencing grain yield in Sichuan Province[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2017,45(08):320.
[8]曾小艳,郭兴旭.极端天气、粮食产量波动与农业天气风险管理[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(11):306.
Zeng Xiaoyan,et al.Climate change,food production fluctuations and agricultural weather risk management[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2017,45(08):306.
[9]周曙东,孟桓宽.中国花生主产区种植面积变化的影响因素[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(13):250.
Zhou Shudong,et al.Factors influencing change of planting area in Chinese main peanut producing areas[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2017,45(08):250.
[10]樊超,郭亚菲,曹培格,等.基于灰色-马尔科夫模型的粮食产量预测[J].江苏农业科学,2018,46(09):346.
Fan Chao,et al.Grain yield prediction based on Grey-Markov model[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2018,46(08):346.