[1]刘昌明,陈志恺. 中国水资源现状评价和供需发展趋势分析[M]. 北京:中国水利水电出版社,2001.
[2]莫兴国,薛玲,林忠辉. 华北平原1981—2001年作物蒸散量的时空分异特征[J]. 自然资源学报,2005,20(2):181-187.
[3]陈博,欧阳竹,程维新,等. 近50a华北平原冬小麦-夏玉米耗水规律研究[J]. 自然资源学报,2012,27(7):1186-1199.
[4]张之淦,张洪平,孙继朝,等. 河北山前平原第四系地下水年龄,水流系统及咸水成因初探——石家庄至渤海湾同位素水文地质剖面研究[J]. 水文地质工程地质,1987(4):5-10.
[5]吴喜芳. 华北平原主要粮食作物蒸散量和水足迹估算研究[D]. 石家庄:河北师范大学,2015.
[6]潘学鹏. 华北平原主要作物遥感提取及时空变化研究[D]. 西宁:青海师范大学,2015.
[7]Asseng S,Keating B A,Fillery I R,et al. Performance of the APSIM-wheat model in Western Australia[J]. Field Crops Research,1998,57(2):163-179.
[8]Asseng S,Hvan K,Stol W. Performance and application of the APSIM N-wheat model in the Netherlands[J]. European Journal of Agronomy,2000,12(1):37-54.
[9]Keating B A,Carberry P S,Hammer G L,et al. An overview of APSIM,a model designed for farming systems simulation[J]. European Journal of Agronomy,2003,18(3/4):267-288.
[10]Acua T B,Lisson S,Johnson P,et al. Yield and water-use efficiency of wheat in a high-rainfall environment[J]. Crop and Pasture Science,2017,66(5):419-429.
[11]Peake A S,Huth N I,Kelly A M,et al. Variation in water extraction with maize plant density and its impact on model application[J]. Field Crops Research,2013,146(146):31-37.
[12]Gaydon D S,Meinke H,Rodriguez D. The best farm-level irrigation strategy changes seasonally with fluctuating water availability[J]. Agricultural Water Management,2012,103(1):33-42.
[13]Chauhan Y S. Potential productivity and water requirements of maize-peanut rotations in Australian semi-arid tropical environments—a crop simulation study[J]. Agricultural Water Management,2010,97(3):457-464.
[14]王静,杨晓光,吕硕,等. 黑龙江省春玉米产量潜力及产量差的时空分布特征[J]. 中国农业科学,2012,45(10):1914-1925.
[15]肖登攀,陶福禄. 过去30年气候变化对华北平原冬小麦物候的影响研究[J]. 中国生态农业学报,2012,20(11):1539-1545.
[16]王国成,许晶晶,李婷婷,等. 1980—2010年华北平原农田土壤有机碳的时空变化[J]. 气候与环境研究,2015,20(5):491-499.
[17]Sun H Y,Zhang X Y,Wang E L,et al. Quantifying the impact of irrigation on groundwater reserve and crop production—A case study in the North China Plain[J]. European Journal of Agronomy,2015,70(1):48-56.
[18]Oort P A J,Wang G,Vos J,et al. Towards groundwater neutral cropping systems in the Alluvial Fans of the North China plain[J]. Agricultural Water Management,2016,165:131-140.
[19]Sun H,Zhang X,Wang E,et al. Assessing the contribution of weather and management to the annual yield variation of summer maize using APSIM in the North China Plain[J]. Field Crops Research,2016,194:94-102.
[20]Xiao D,Tao F. Contributions of cultivar shift,management practice and climate change to maize yield in North China Plain in 1981—2009[J]. International Journal of Biometeorology,2016,60(7):1111-1122.
[21]Xiao D P,Qi Y Q,Shen Y J,et al. Impact of warming climate and cultivar change on maize phenology in the last three decades in North China Plain[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2016,124(3/4):653-661.
[22]Wang J,Wang E,Yin H,et al. Declining yield potential and shrinking yield gaps of maize in the North China Plain[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,2014,195(2):89-101.
[23]Li K,Yang X,Tian H,et al. Effects of changing climate and cultivar on the phenology and yield of winter wheat in the North China Plain[J]. International Journal of Biometeorology,2016,60(1):21-32.
[24]Zhang Y,Feng L P,Wang E L,et al. Evaluation of the APSIM-Wheat model in terms of different cultivars,management regimes and environmental conditions[J]. Canadian Journal of Plant Science,2012,92(5):937-949.
[25]陈楠,程萌. 菏泽市降水变化趋势与时空分布特征[J]. 中国农学通报,2016,32(36):136-141.
[26]张玉娜,徐长春,李卫红,等. 开都河流域气候变化特征及其对径流的影响[J]. 中国水土保持科学,2014,12(1):81-89.
[27]贺俊杰. 锡林浩特市50年降水量变化特征分析[J]. 中国农学通报,2012,28(29):271-278.
[28]王长林,张林. 干旱对内蒙农牧业生产的影响[J]. 干旱地区农业研究,1983(1):44-53.