|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]张 怡,史本林.气候变化对豫东冬小麦产区的综合影响[J].江苏农业科学,2015,43(02):336-339.
　Zhang Yi,et al.Comprehensive effect of climate change on production of winter wheat in eastern Henan[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(02):336-339.
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气候变化对豫东冬小麦产区的综合影响(PDF)
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《江苏农业科学》[ISSN:1002-1302/CN:32-1214/S]

卷:
第43卷
期数:
2015年02期
页码:
336-339
栏目:
资源与环境
出版日期:
2015-02-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Comprehensive effect of climate change on production of winter wheat in eastern Henan
作者:
张 怡1; 2;  史本林3
1.南京信息工程大学，江苏南京 210000； 2.河南省商丘市气象局，河南商丘 476000； 3.商丘师范学院，河南商丘 476000
Author(s):
Zhang Yi; et al
关键词:
气候变化; 冬小麦; 豫东; 极端天气; 干旱; 产量
Keywords:
-
分类号:
S162.5
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
分析了豫东冬小麦产区近50年的水、温要素的变化趋势，通过数学统计与模型模拟农业气候资源的变化和极端气候事件发生的规律，预测未来农业气候资源变化趋势和极端天气事件出现的规律，探讨气候变化和干旱灾害对豫东地区冬小麦产量的影响，结果表明，豫东冬小麦产区气候趋于“暖湿化”，对冬小麦产量的提升较为有利；冬小麦生长中后期的光照、温度和降水适宜度与冬小麦产量的相关性显著；豫东冬小麦产区干旱受灾面积呈减小趋势，但成灾面积呈增大趋势。
Abstract:
-

参考文献/References:

［1］ Piao S L，Ciais P，Huang Y，et al. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China［J］. Nature，2010，467(2)：43-51.
［2］丁一汇，任国玉，赵宗慈，等. 中国气候变化的检测及预估［J］. 沙漠与绿洲气象，2007，1(1)：1-10.
［3］武永利，卢淑贤. 近45 年山西省气候生产潜力时空变化特征分析［J］. 生态环境学报，

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2014
基金项目：国家自然科学基金(编号：41140019)；河南省科技发展计划［编号：商(20093004)、商(20103012)］。
作者简介：张 怡(1981—)，男，河南柘城人，硕士，工程师，主要从事气象预报预测与灾害防护的研究。Tel：(0370)3235767；E-mail：zhangyi8733873@sina.com。
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-02-25